Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Thurner vs Martinovic

Total Volume

$0.00

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Thurner vs Martinovic

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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2 markets tracked

Filip Martinovic wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Filip Martinovic wins	Kalshi	60%
Dean Thurner wins	Kalshi	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

Thurner vs Martinovic (Oct 12) If X wins the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Thurner vs Martinovic
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Thurner vs Martinovic (Oct 12)

If X wins the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Dean Thurner wins the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Sz"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dean Thurner wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Filip Martinovic wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Thurner vs Martinovic

Volume$0.00

Markets2

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KALSHI

Filip Martinovic wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHISports

Filip Martinovic wins

If Filip Martinovic wins the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M1

KALSHI

Dean Thurner wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.0¢No 53.0¢

KALSHISports

Dean Thurner wins

If Dean Thurner wins the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Thurner vs Martinovic professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Sz

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/D-Q6nx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Thurner vs Martinovic"></iframe>

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Filip Martinovic wins

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Events (1)

Thurner vs Martinovic

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Filip Martinovic wins

Filip Martinovic wins

Dean Thurner wins

Dean Thurner wins

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Filip Martinovic wins

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Thurner vs Martinovic

Filip Martinovic wins

Filip Martinovic wins

Dean Thurner wins

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