USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

Name: USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T22:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$58.58K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $58.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $58.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$58.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the USD/JPY candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finaliz

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the USD/JPY candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".

Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finaliz

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the USD/JPY candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $58.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $78
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 749.54)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $58.6K
  DATA: [Up: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [Down: 80.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

20¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/D3aZdA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?"></iframe>

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USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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USD/JPY Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)