Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

Total Volume

$33.19K

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NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

Vol

$33.19K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $33.19K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $33.19K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	64%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	63%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $9.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $8.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $8.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $9.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	38%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $10.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	37%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $10.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in October 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.50 in October 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$33.19K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 2026 If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above X in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 2026

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above X in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $12 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

R"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $12.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $11.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $10.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $447
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $10.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $9.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $276
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $9.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $8.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $8.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $330
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $7.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

Volume$33.19K

Markets19

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KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Re

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Re

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.

KALSHI

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

If the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour is above $6 in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA B200 compute per hour in October 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn. Re

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NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

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Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

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Events (1)

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

Markets (19)

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

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Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in October

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $4.50 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $6.00 in October 2026?

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