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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Argentina Monthly Inflation - April

Name: Argentina Monthly Inflation - April
End: 2026-05-14T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.58K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Argentina Monthly Inflation - April

Vol

$2.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Poly	26%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?	Poly	26%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?	Poly	16%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?	Poly	10%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?	Poly	7%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?	Poly	3%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be 4.0% or higher?	Poly	1%
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

26%

Top Probability

$2.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Argentina Monthly Inflation - April
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.81)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $751
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $512
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.7% and 3.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $513
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $314
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be 4.0% or higher?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $299
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy