GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

Name: Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-10T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$45.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$45.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $45.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Poly	52%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?	Poly	46%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?	Poly	2%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?	Poly	1%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?	Poly	1%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?	Poly	1%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$45.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 6, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 10, 2027 (96 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI /"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $45.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 10, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy