Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETMentions

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Name: What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
End: 2026-10-11T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$32.18K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Vol

$32.18K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $32.18K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.18K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?	Poly	100%
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Poly	46%
Will Trump say "Pig" or "Piggy" this week?	Poly	45%
Will Trump say "Psychological" or "Psychologically" this week?	Poly	44%
Will Trump say "Gay" this week?	Poly	33%
Will Trump say "NFL" this week?	Poly	24%
Will Trump say "Too Late" this week?	Poly	20%
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" this week?	Poly	15%
Will Trump say "Plumber" this week?	Poly	11%
Will Trump say "Witch" this week?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$32.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-ea

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 11, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-ea

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Psychological" or "Psychologically" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $370
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 99.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Pig" or "Piggy" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $306
  DATA: [Yes: 45.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Too Late" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $379
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 14.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "NFL" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Plumber" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $453
  DATA: [Yes: 11.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "Witch" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $179
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "Gay" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Yes: 33.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $403
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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