Name: Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?
End: 2026-04-19T00:00:00.000Z

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Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19? | PredictPedia

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6 markets tracked

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?	Poly	79%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?	Poly	28%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?	Poly	24%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?	Poly	4%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?	Poly	2%
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be greater than 18,500,000?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 19, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive). 

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 milli

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive). 

The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.9K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $125
  DATA: [Yes: 23.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $285
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $268
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be greater than 18,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

10h 58mremaining

Apr 19, 2026 12:00 AM

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23¢

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Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

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Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

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Events (1)

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

Markets (6)

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be less than 16,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 13 - April 19 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

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