Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

$Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?$

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Total Volume

$59.29K

Events

1

Markets

14

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Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?$

Vol

$59.29K

|

Events

1

|

Markets

14

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$59.29K

Volume

14

Markets

1

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

11¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

0

Cross-Platform

0

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	Poly	20%
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?	Poly	18%
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	Poly	17%
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?	Poly	17%
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?	Poly	14%
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?	Poly	13%
Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026?	Poly	9%
Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?	Poly	8%
Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?	Poly	7%
Will AI solve Legendre's conjecture in 2026?	Poly	5%
Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?	Poly	4%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $20.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $16.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $12.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $971
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will AI solve the odd perfect number problem in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will AI solve Legendre's conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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