Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Name: Democratic Senate odds on October 16?
End: 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z

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$3.19K

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Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Vol

$3.19K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.19K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.19K

100%

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6 markets tracked

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	Poly	59%
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	Poly	19%
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?	Poly	18%
Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?	Poly	12%
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?	Poly	6%
Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 16?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$3.19K

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve according to the range that contains the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds v

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Democratic Senate odds on October 16?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 16, 2026 (5 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the range that contains the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026.

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds v

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is below 58%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An hourly odds value is the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $22.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $324
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $994
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $494
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Volume$3.19K

Markets6

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POLYMARKET

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is 64% or higher and below 66%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly

POLYMARKET

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is 62% or higher and below 64%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly

POLYMARKET

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is 60% or higher and below 62%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly

POLYMARKET

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is below 58%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the

POLYMARKET

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

POLYMARKETPolitics

CLOSING SOON

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026 is 66% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is

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Oct 16, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DCtQQC" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Democratic Senate odds on October 16?"></iframe>

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Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

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Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Markets (6)

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

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Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?

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