Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia
K 19.5K contracts
1
2
Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia
K 19.5K contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is UCAM Murcia at 84.5%.
Kalshi
- UCAM Murcia84.5%
- Caprabo Lleida12.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 19.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
LLE vs MUR (Oct 31) If X wins the Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event covers the Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game, listed as originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT [1]. The two saved markets are "UCAM Murcia wins" and "Caprabo Lleida wins." Each has a Yes and a No outcome. The rules state that if the named team wins, the market "resolves to Yes" [1].
The rules also cover schedule changes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price" [1]. The event excerpt lists its provider status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. Both markets carry an end date of 2026-11-02T18:30:00.000Z, which is a listed close time, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T08:49:35.104Z [1]. They describe that earlier observation, not live trading now. For UCAM Murcia wins, the Yes price is 0.845 and the No price is 0.155. For Caprabo Lleida wins, the Yes price is 0.13 and the No price is 0.87 [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two markets are separate contracts, so their Yes prices should not be combined or treated as a single distribution. The saved sample includes both markets for this one event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. The provider's sampleWarning notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The prices should not be read as a complete field.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why either price is where it is, and it does not show trading volume, liquidity, or how many participants hold each view. It also does not include the game's current status, any postponement, or the final result. Any change after the observation time is not reflected here.
The postponement and cancellation rules matter for interpretation. A postponed game that starts within 48 hours keeps the market open. A cancelled game, or one that does not start within 48 hours, resolves to a fair price under the stated terms. Readers should check the provider's current rules and listed close times directly before relying on any contract.
References
- Kalshi: Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia, for a men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game. The contract was listed as originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT [1]. The event contains two markets: one asking whether UCAM Murcia wins and one asking whether Caprabo Lleida wins [1]. The contract rules set out how each market resolves. If the team named in a market wins the game, that market resolves to Yes [1]. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The event page states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with the governing league [1]. The event page also lists its provider status as active and does not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The market records carry a close date field of November 2, 2026 at 18:30 UTC. That field is part of the market record and is not an announced date for the game. Prices shown for these markets are snapshots taken at the time of the provider observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either team winning.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which side wins this specific basketball game, as defined by the event rules [1]. Because the rules tie resolution to the official final result, the market depends on how the game is actually completed. A postponement inside the 48 hour window keeps the market open, while a cancellation or a delayed start outside that window moves all markets to a fair price settlement [1]. Users should read these rules closely, since they determine what happens in each scenario rather than relying on the team names alone.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which outcome makes a market resolve to Yes?
Each market resolves to Yes if the team named in that market wins the game, which is the Caprabo Lleida vs UCAM Murcia men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
No. The event rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
