Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

Name: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright
End: 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

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3 markets tracked

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Michael Wright. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Michael Wright.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mord"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Michael Wright: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Michael Wright: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Michael Wright: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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POLYMARKET

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

Health Score10/100

Leading Outcome50.0%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini" if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini wins by 2

Health Score10/100

Leading Outcome50.0%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Wright and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michael Wright" if Michael Wright wins by 2 or more sets than Tobia Costanzo Ba

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Oct 18, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DLubr6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright"></iframe>

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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Events (1)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

Markets (3)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (+1.5)

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