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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

American Idol Season 24 Winner

Name: American Idol Season 24 Winner
End: 2026-05-11T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$34.42K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

American Idol Season 24 Winner

Vol

$34.42K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $34.42K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.42K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	43%
Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	23%
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	19%
Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	5%
Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	4%
Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	3%
Will Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	3%
Will Julian Kalel win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	3%
Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	2%
Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Rae win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Madison Moon win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Abayomi win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Lucas Leon win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Ruby Rae win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Bryant Thomas win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Kiera Howell win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Sheldon Riley win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Jacquie Lee win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Michael Garner win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	1%
Will Makiyah win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Kutter Bradley win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Brenna Brigman win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Philmon Lee win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%
Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$34.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** American Idol Season 24 Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 11, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 24 of American Idol.

If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for winner, th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $34.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $77.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.45)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kyndal Inskeep win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $800
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Daniel Stallworth win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $564
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bella Emry win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $672
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brianna Yancey win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Chloe Lauren win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $575
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Genevieve Heyward win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $577
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jake Thistle win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $853
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $895
  DATA: [Yes: 18.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Keyla Richardson win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.3% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kutter Bradley win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $564
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Madison Moon win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $788
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Michael Garner win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $649
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Ruby Rae win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $929
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $11.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Braden Rumfelt win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $754
  DATA: [Yes: 4.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.6% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Rae win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $721
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Abayomi win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $585
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Brenna Brigman win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $639
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bryant Thomas win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $764
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $914
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jacquie Lee win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $829
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Jesse Findling win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $760
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Julian Kalel win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $821
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Kiera Howell win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $611
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Lucas Leon win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $761
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Makiyah win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $792
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Philmon Lee win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $823
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Sheldon Riley win American Idol Season 24?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 11, 2026): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture