Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
PM $85.4K · K 3.79M contracts
2
26
Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?
PM $85.4K · K 3.79M contracts
2
26
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, Ezra Frech is priced at 58% on Polymarket and 57.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra FrechSame question, fine print differs | 58% | 57.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Amber GlennSame question, fine print differs | 14.5% | 15.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Maura HigginsSame question, fine print differs | 9% | 8.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Julia StilesSame question, fine print differs | 6% | 5.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Jenna DewanSame question, fine print differs | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Harry Shum Jr.Same question, fine print differs | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Connor WoodSame question, fine print differs | 4.7% | 1.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Jackson OlsonSame question, fine print differs | 2% | 2.5% | 0.5 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $85.4K · K 3.79M contracts
Reported volume · provider units
26
Saved contracts
10
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Dancing with the Stars is a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines. This market will resolve to the celebrity participant of the winning team of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 has otherwise not concluded by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks which celebrity participant will win Dancing with the Stars: Season 35. The market "will resolve to the celebrity participant of the winning team of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35" [1]. If multiple winners are announced, it resolves to the contestant whose name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the season has not concluded by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, it resolves to "Other" [1]. The resolution source is the official broadcast of the final episode [1].
Listed end times differ across contracts. Most list 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z, while the Maura Higgins and Ciara Miller contracts list 2027-04-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. The latter matches the March 31, 2027 deadline in the rules, but the excerpt does not explain the difference. Readers should check each contract's own terms before comparing close times.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T23:09:45.849Z [1]. They describe that earlier moment, not current conditions. The listed prices are Yes and No prices for each contestant. For example, Ezra Frech is at 0.58 Yes and 0.42 No, and Amber Glenn is at 0.115 Yes [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 16 markets, and 12 are included [1]. Markets were selected by descending Yes price, so the four omitted markets are not shown. They should not be assumed to have lower prices. Prices for different contestants are separate contracts, so they should not be averaged or combined into a single ranking.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt includes no volume figures, trader counts, or liquidity measures, so it cannot show how much trading supports these prices [1]. It also gives no explanation for the prices. The identities and prices of the four omitted markets are unknown. The supplied evidence does not establish whether or when the season will conclude, only the deadline in the rules [1]. Prices from other providers or events should not be compared with this set as if they were the same contract.
References
- Polymarket: Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T21:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers the Polymarket event "Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner?" The contract concerns Dancing with the Stars: Season 35. Its rules say the market will resolve to the celebrity participant of the winning team of that season [1]. Dancing with the Stars is described in the rules as a reality dance competition in which celebrities are paired with professional dancers to perform dance routines [1]. The rules set out several resolution conditions. If multiple winners are announced, the market resolves in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order [1]. If Season 35 concludes without a winner being declared, or has not concluded by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated resolution source is the official broadcast of the final episode of Season 35 [1]. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2027-04-01T03:59:00Z [1]. That March 31, 2027 date is a deadline in the contract rules. It is not an announced date for the season finale. The market sample in this entry was observed at 2026-10-15T21:00:05Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T23:09:45Z [1]. Those are snapshot times, not live prices. The sample includes 12 of the 16 individual contestant markets saved for this event [1]. Within that sample, the highest Yes price is 0.58 for Ezra Frech, followed by Amber Glenn at 0.115 and Maura Higgins at 0.105 [1]. The four omitted markets are not shown, so this entry cannot rank them or describe the full field. Each price reflects a point-in-time snapshot and is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which celebrity participant will be the winner of the winning team in Dancing with the Stars: Season 35, as defined by the official broadcast of the final episode [1]. Because the rules also define a fallback outcome of "Other" for seasons that do not conclude or declare a winner by the stated deadline, the contract reflects both the competition result and the timing conditions written into its rules [1]. The alphabetical tie-break rule means that a shared outcome resolves to a single contestant under the stated terms [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if Season 35 ends without a declared winner?
Under the contract rules, the market resolves to "Other" if Season 35 concludes without a winner being declared [1].
What happens if the season has not concluded by the deadline?
The rules state that the market resolves to "Other" if Season 35 has not concluded by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET [1].
How are multiple announced winners handled?
If multiple winners are announced, the market resolves in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order [1].
Which source determines the outcome?
The stated resolution source is the official broadcast of the final episode of Dancing with the Stars: Season 35 [1].
Does a price on this market show the probability of winning?
The prices here are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The sample also includes only 12 of 16 markets for this event, so it cannot be treated as the complete field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
1
Same-question pairs
10
Largest saved gap: 3.2 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
