Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Name: Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
End: 2026-10-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$100.13K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Vol

$100.13K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $100.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $100.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Poly	90%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026?	Poly	4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 14, 2026?	Poly	3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 12, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?	Poly	2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?	Poly	1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 19, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 24, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?	Poly	0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 16, 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$100.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 31, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini mo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $85.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $49.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 12, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $693
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 14, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $740
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 15, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $798
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 16, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 18, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $456
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 19, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $283
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $832
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $711
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $555
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 24, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $378
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $985
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $860
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $692
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $673
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $65.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech