GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

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Which banks will take OpenAI public?

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15 markets tracked

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	52%
Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	46%
Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	41%
Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	39%
Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	34%
Will Allen & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	28%
Will Qatalyst Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	19%
Will Evercore take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	13%
Will Perella Weinberg Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	13%
Will Piper Sandler take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	13%
Will Moelis & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	12%
Will Lazard take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	12%
Will Greenhill & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	12%
Will Centerview take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	12%
Will PJT Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	11%

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Before Jan 1, 2028 If X serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings, Form S-1 or final prospectus, or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another ins

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which banks will take OpenAI public?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2028

If X serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings, Form S-1 or final prospectus, or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another ins

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If William Blair serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Qatalyst Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Perella Weinberg Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will PJT Partners take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Piper Sandler take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Moelis & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lazard take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Greenhill & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Evercore take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Centerview take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Allen & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

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KALSHI

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

If Stifel Financial serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1

KALSHI

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

If Raymond James serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or

KALSHI

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

If Needham & Company serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-

KALSHI

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHITech

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

If William Blair serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or

KALSHI

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

If Rothschild & Co serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1

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Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

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Events (1)

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

Markets (15)

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

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Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

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Which banks will take OpenAI public?

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will William Blair take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Rothschild & Co take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?

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