PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Name: Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$600.32K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $600.32K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $600.32K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Poly	16%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (259 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be Acting President/leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $134.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.77)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $134.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

258d 5h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

16¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DdtqYK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)