Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow
K 29.8K contracts
1
17
Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow
K 29.8K contracts
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 4.1800 at 99%.
Kalshi
- Above 4.180099%
- Above 4.205098%
- Above 4.200098%
- Above 4.195095.5%
- Above 4.190095%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 29.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 28, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Massachusetts are strictly greater than X on Oct 28, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether average regular gas prices in Massachusetts will be above a stated threshold. The supplied rules say: "If average regular gas prices for Massachusetts are strictly greater than X on Oct 27, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each market in the sample uses the same AAA-based measure and the same date. The thresholds differ, so each contract resolves on a different cutoff.
The event title is "Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow," but the rule refers to October 27, 2026. The listed end date for every included market is 2026-11-03T14:00:00.000Z, and the supplied excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied." [1] The contract's listed close time therefore does not match the date named in the rule. A reader should rely on the rule text for the measured day and treat the listed end date as the provider's close field, not as proof of when the price is measured.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T07:46:51.860Z. [1] These are archived Yes-side prices from that observation, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. It includes 12 of 17 markets from this single Kalshi event. [1] The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, so the five omitted markets are not shown and cannot be compared with the included ones. Within the sample, Yes prices run from about 0.97 to 0.995 for thresholds from $4.1850 to $4.2100, then drop to about 0.05 at $4.2200 and $4.2250, and to about 0.04 to 0.045 at the higher thresholds shown. [1] A higher threshold has a lower Yes price in this snapshot, which fits the strictly-greater-than wording.
All markets come from one provider event, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here. Averaging prices across thresholds would combine different outcomes and is not meaningful.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices were where they were, how many traders were involved, or what volume or liquidity existed. The excerpt also does not supply the listed end time. Because the snapshot is from earlier on October 27, 2026, it should not be read as the current market. Readers should check the live provider page and the full rule text before drawing conclusions about any threshold.
References
- Kalshi: Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a Kalshi event titled "Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow." Its rule states that if average regular gas prices for Massachusetts are strictly greater than a chosen threshold X on October 27, 2026, according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract within the same event. The event is categorized under economics in the saved record. The contract rule names AAA as the source for the average regular gas price, and it refers to a specific date, October 27, 2026. That date is part of the contract's rule, not evidence of a separate announcement about gas prices. The rule uses the word "strictly," so a reading exactly equal to a threshold would not satisfy a Yes outcome under the wording as written [1]. For background on what a gas price measures at the local level, a filling station is described as a facility that sells fuel and engine lubricants for motor vehicles. It receives fuel from refineries, stores it in tanks, and distributes it to motorists at a daily varied price [2]. This explains why a retail average can move from day to day, but the sources supplied do not describe how AAA calculates its Massachusetts average, so the methodology should not be assumed from this background. The saved market records show the Yes and No prices for several thresholds. Prices in this snapshot run from about $4.1850 to $4.2450 across the included thresholds. Lower thresholds such as $4.1850 through $4.2100 carry Yes prices of roughly 0.97 to 0.995, while thresholds from $4.2250 upward carry Yes prices of about 0.04 to 0.05. These are observed snapshot values for the included thresholds, not executable quotes or verified probabilities of any outcome. The saved sample includes 12 of 17 markets from this single provider event, so the displayed set should not be read as the full range of thresholds.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single published indicator, the average regular gas price for Massachusetts according to AAA, on a specified date, October 27, 2026 [1]. Traders in this format are effectively taking a position on whether that reported average will sit above a chosen threshold. Because each threshold is its own contract, the set of prices across thresholds reflects where the observed market placed the average relative to each level at the time of the snapshot. The underlying retail price is described as varying daily at filling stations [2], so the contract depends on a specific published measurement rather than a general sense of fuel costs.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Yes?
The contract resolves Yes if the average regular gas price for Massachusetts, according to AAA, is strictly greater than the threshold X on October 27, 2026 [1]. The rule does not describe any other measure.
Why do the prices differ between thresholds?
Each threshold is a separate contract on the same underlying measurement. Thresholds below the level the market expected show higher Yes prices in the snapshot, and higher thresholds show lower ones [1]. The snapshot prices shown are observed values, not guaranteed outcomes.
Does a Yes price near 0.99 mean the outcome is certain?
No. The prices are snapshots from a provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The contract has not resolved, and the observed price can change before the measurement date.
What does a retail gas price represent?
A filling station receives fuel from refineries, stores it, and distributes it to motorists at a daily varied price [2]. The contract uses AAA's average rather than any single station's price [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
