Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Total Volume

$162.27

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Vol

$162.27

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $162.27

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $162.27

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Jalen Hurts: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Joe Burrow: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Geno Smith: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Dak Prescott: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Daniel Jones: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Aaron Rodgers: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	48%
Jameis Winston: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	47%
Cam Ward: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	47%
Brock Purdy: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	47%
Drake Maye: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	47%
Tyson Bagent: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	45%
Justin Herbert: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	44%
Josh Allen: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	10%
Trevor Lawrence: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	7%
Jalon Daniels: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	7%
Bo Nix: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	7%
Jayden Daniels: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	6%
C.J. Stroud: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	6%
Tyler Shough: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	5%
Tyler Huntley: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%
Matthew Stafford: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%
Michael Penix Jr.: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%
Jared Goff: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%
Jacoby Brissett: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%
Deshaun Watson: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$162.27

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Week 5 · QB If X finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including overtime. It ranks all QBs, including eligible players without a listed market. Player-group membership is determined by Sleeper at expiration. If a player does not play in the week they will be considered to have sco

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Week 5 · QB

If X finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including overtime. It ranks all QBs, including eligible players without a listed market. Player-group membership is determined by Sleeper at expiration. If a player does not play in the week they will be considered to have sco

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tyler Shough finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ov"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $162
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tyler Shough: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Trevor Lawrence: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tyler Huntley: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Tyson Bagent: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Matthew Stafford: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Michael Penix Jr.: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jameis Winston: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Jalen Hurts: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Justin Herbert: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jared Goff: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Jayden Daniels: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Jalon Daniels: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Joe Burrow: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Jacoby Brissett: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Josh Allen: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Geno Smith: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Deshaun Watson: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Dak Prescott: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Drake Maye: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Daniel Jones: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cam Ward: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. C.J. Stroud: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Brock Purdy: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Bo Nix: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Aaron Rodgers: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Volume$162.27

Markets30

30 of 30

Sort:

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

If Sam Darnold finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ove

KALSHI

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

If Malik Willis finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ov

KALSHI

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

If Kyler Murray finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ov

KALSHI

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

If Kirk Cousins finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ov

KALSHI

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

If Jordan Love finishes highest in total full-PPR fantasy points for all QBs in Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses Sleeper's total full-PPR fantasy points for Week 5 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season, including ove

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29¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DluJvB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?"></iframe>

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QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Markets (30)

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

QB Fantasy Football Week 5 Leader?

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Sam Darnold: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Malik Willis: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kyler Murray: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Kirk Cousins: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

Jordan Love: Leader QB in fantasy points for Week 5?

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