Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Total Volume

$86.73K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Vol

$86.73K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $86.73K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $86.73K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?	Kalshi	94%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?	Kalshi	74%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?	Kalshi	16%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?	Kalshi	9%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?	Kalshi	6%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.75 million?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$86.73K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus deplaned passengers as reported by the Airport Authority. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above X million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus deplaned passengers as reported by the Airport Authority. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 

16.75 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $86.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.75 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $21.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 7, 2027): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Volume$86.73K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 15.50 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep

KALSHI

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 15.75 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep

KALSHI

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 16.00 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep

KALSHI

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 16.25 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep

KALSHI

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 16.50 million, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus dep

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Do_TEo" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026"></iframe>

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Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

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Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Markets (6)

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

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Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.25 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.50 million?

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Discussion

Share

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