Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?

Total Volume

$11.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?

Vol

$11.26K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.26K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.26K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?	Kalshi	97%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$11.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If CDA reports that O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for calendar year 2026 is above 84,856,018 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year Total Passenger Volume reported by the Chicago Department of Aviation. This includes domestic and international revenue and nonrevenue passengers included in CDA’s passenger-volume statistics. It does not use TSA checkpoint screenings, customs counts, aircraft operations, or passenger projection

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If CDA reports that O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for calendar year 2026 is above 84,856,018 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year Total Passenger Volume reported by the Chicago Department of Aviation. This includes domestic and international revenue and nonrevenue passengers included in CDA’s passenger-volume statistics. It does not use TSA checkpoint screenings, customs counts, aircraft operations, or passenger projection

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If CDA reports that O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for calendar year 2026 is above 84,856,018 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the calendar-year Total Passenger Volume reported by the Chicago Department of Aviation. This includes "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics