Name: Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-28T17:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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13 markets tracked

First Blood in Game 2?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?	Poly	48%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	48%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	47%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?	Poly	47%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?	Poly	42%
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	40%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?	Poly	40%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?	Poly	38%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	31%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	29%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?	Poly	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against PlayTime.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against REKONIX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming match between REKONIX and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 6:00AM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 53 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $195
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $96
  DATA: [Over: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Over: 37.8% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $112
  DATA: [Over: 47.8% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $102
  DATA: [Over: 47.3% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [REKONIX: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [PlayTime: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [REKONIX: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [PlayTime: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Over: 28.8% (0.0%)] | [Under: 71.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $116
  DATA: [Over: 48.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Over: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [REKONIX: 40.1% (0.0%)] | [PlayTime: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Over: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

39¢

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Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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First Blood in Game 2?

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Events (1)

Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (13)

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

First Blood in Game 2?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: REKONIX vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?

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