Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?

Name: Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?
End: 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.84K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?

Vol

$1.84K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.84K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $19.75B?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $19.75B?	Poly	82%
Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20B?	Poly	69%
Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?	Poly	34%
Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.75B?	Poly	24%
Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.5B?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$1.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Express' total revenue net of interest expense for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 23, 2026 (11 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Express' total revenue net of interest expense for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Express' total revenue net of interest expense for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considere"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.83)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $19.75B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $445
  DATA: [Yes: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.5B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.75B?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $594
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance