Name: What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?
End: 2026-01-31T19:30:00.000Z

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?	Poly	99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?	Poly	50%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?	Poly	37%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?	Poly	34%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?	Poly	26%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January?	Poly	21%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $62 by end of January?	Poly	19%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of January?	Poly	15%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $42 by end of January?	Poly	12%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $58 by end of January?	Poly	9%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of January?	Poly	5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of January?	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?
**Category:** Other | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (17 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of January 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For examp

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of January 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL)"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $58 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $198
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $62 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $241
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $884
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $42 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $573
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

16d 8h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 7:30 PM

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27¢

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

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Events (1)

What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?

Markets (12)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?

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