$1.31K
1
8
$1.31K
1
8
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win against TOP Esports Armor in the named Honor of Kings match in the King Pro League Stage 1 Group 1, scheduled for January 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win against Weibo Gaming in the Honor of Kings match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 5
Prediction markets currently price Weibo Gaming as a narrow favorite to win Game 2 of their King Pro League series against TOP Esports Armor. On Polymarket, the "Weibo Gaming to win Game 2" share trades at 52¢, implying a 52% probability. This suggests the market views the match as essentially a coin flip, with a marginal edge given to Weibo Gaming. The overall series winner market also reflects this tight spread, with Weibo Gaming priced at 53% for the full Best-of-Five victory. With only about $1,000 in total volume across related markets, liquidity is thin, indicating lower confidence and higher volatility in these odds.
Two primary factors are shaping this nearly even pricing. First, the historical and recent performance context is key. Weibo Gaming is a perennial powerhouse in the King Pro League, often entering matches with inherent favoritism. However, TOP Esports Armor has established itself as a consistent top-tier contender, and matches between these elite teams are typically highly competitive, rarely featuring a clear dominant side. This rivalry dynamic naturally compresses the odds. Second, the specific focus on Game 2 introduces strategic variables. Teams may use early games in a series to test strategies, or a team losing Game 1 might make aggressive compositional adjustments in Game 2. This game-specific uncertainty, separate from the overall series outcome, contributes to the 52/48 near-parity.
The odds for this individual game are highly susceptible to the result of Game 1, which will be the most immediate and powerful catalyst. If Weibo Gaming secures a convincing victory in the opening match, their probability for a Game 2 win could surge as markets price in momentum and potential strategic momentum. Conversely, if TOP Esports Armor wins Game 1, they would likely become the favorite for Game 2. Additionally, any last-minute news regarding player health, champion pool strategies, or revealed compositional preferences from the teams' recent scrimmages could shift the needle before the match begins. Given the low trading volume, even a modest amount of new money based on such information could move the price significantly.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a professional Honor of Kings esports match scheduled for January 18, 2025, at 7:00 AM Eastern Time. The match is part of the King Pro League (KPL) Stage 1 Group 1, a premier tournament for the mobile multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game Honor of Kings, developed by Tencent's TiMi Studio Group. The market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-five (BO5) series between Weibo Gaming and TOP Esports Armor. Weibo Gaming is a prominent esports organization backed by the Chinese social media giant Weibo, while TOP Esports Armor is the Honor of Kings division of the larger TOP Esports franchise, known for its success in League of Legends. The KPL is the top professional league for Honor of Kings, a game with over 100 million daily active users, making its competitive scene a significant focus for fans and bettors. This specific Group 1 match is crucial for early positioning in the league stage, where teams compete for playoff berths and a share of the multi-million dollar prize pool. Interest stems from the intense regional rivalry, the high stakes of the KPL, and the popularity of the players involved, driving both viewership and predictive market activity.
The King Pro League was founded in 2016, establishing itself as the world's premier Honor of Kings competition. The rivalry between Weibo Gaming and TOP Esports Armor is relatively recent but has intensified quickly. Weibo Gaming entered the KPL in 2018 after acquiring the spot of the team SZG, while TOP Esports expanded into Honor of Kings in 2021, branding its team as TOP Esports Armor. Their first major encounter was in the 2023 KPL Summer Playoffs, where TOP Esports Armor defeated Weibo Gaming 4-2 in a tense semifinal series on August 25, 2023. Weibo Gaming gained a measure of revenge in the 2024 KPL Spring Season group stage, winning their BO5 match 3-1 on March 15, 2024. This established a pattern of closely contested matches where the outcome often hinges on jungle and mid-lane control. Historically, TOP Esports Armor has had slightly more success in postseason play, while Weibo Gaming has been more consistent in the regular season. The Stage 1 Group 1 format, introduced in 2023, places added importance on every match for securing favorable playoff seeding, making their historical head-to-head record a key analytical point for this fixture.
Beyond determining a single match winner, this event matters significantly within the rapidly growing esports economy. The KPL generates substantial revenue through media rights deals, sponsorships with brands like Honor (the smartphone maker) and Li-Ning, and in-game monetization. A strong performance can boost a team's commercial value and player marketability. For the broader Honor of Kings community, matches like this drive engagement, with millions of fans watching on platforms like Huya, DouYu, and Bilibili, influencing game popularity and player retention. The outcome also has implications for the competitive meta, as successful strategies used by the winning team are often adopted by the global player base. For predictive markets, it represents a high-volume event where data on team form, player performance, and historical trends can be tested, contributing to the legitimacy and activity of esports betting and forecasting platforms.
As of the latest information, the match is scheduled to proceed as planned on January 18, 2025, at 7:00 AM ET (8:00 PM local time in China). Both teams have concluded their preseason preparations and roster adjustments. The meta for the new KPL season is still settling following recent game patches from TiMi Studio Group. Analysts are closely watching the performance of new hero adjustments and item changes that could influence team compositions and strategies for this opening group stage match. No official announcements regarding player health issues or other postponement factors have been made by either team or the KPL committee.
The King Pro League is the top-level professional esports league for the mobile game Honor of Kings. Organized by Tencent, it features the best teams in China competing across multiple seasonal stages for championship titles and a multi-million dollar prize pool. It is considered the most prestigious Honor of Kings competition in the world.
The match will be broadcast live on official KPL streaming partners, primarily Chinese platforms like Huya, DouYu, and Bilibili. International viewers may find broadcasts on platforms like YouTube via official KPL channels or community restreams with English commentary, subject to regional availability.
BO5 stands for 'Best of Five'. It is a match format where the first team to win three individual games (or maps) wins the overall series. This format is common in playoff and important group stage matches as it tests a team's consistency, adaptability, and stamina over multiple games.
Based on recent form and historical matchups, analysts consider this a very close contest. Weibo Gaming won their last meeting, but TOP Esports Armor has a strong playoff pedigree. Odds and predictions often hinge on current team synergy, the specific game meta, and individual player performance on the day.
According to the market rules, if the game is postponed, the prediction market will remain open until the game has been completed. The resolution will then be based on the outcome of the rescheduled match. Only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up date will the market resolve to a different outcome.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
8 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DyBUuq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs TOP Esports Armor (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 1 Group 1"></iframe>