Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?

Name: Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?
End: 2026-11-03T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.52K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?

Vol

$5.52K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.52K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.52K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?	Poly	83%
Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?	Poly	14%
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$5.52K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election.

An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election.

An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $34.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $803
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics