M15 Mazatlan: Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
PM $85.91
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M15 Mazatlan: Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
PM $85.91
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $85.91
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael De Alba and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado. This market will resolve to 'Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado' if Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado advances against Rafael De Alba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The evidence covers a Polymarket event for a tennis match between Rafael De Alba and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado in the M15 Mazatlan Main Draw. The primary contract "will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado" [1]. The rules also state that the market "will resolve to 50-50" if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, has a walkover, or has no determined winner "by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)" [1]. The excerpt says the match was "originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30PM ET" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-04T19:30:00.000Z [1].
The event contains three markets. The first is the match winner contract. The other two are set handicap contracts with different wording: one names Rafael De Alba at (-1.5) and the other names Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at (-1.5) [1]. These are separate contracts and should be read on their own terms.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z and retrieved at 10:03:24.722Z [1]. These are point-in-time values, not live quotes, and this report does not describe them as current.
For the match winner market, Rafael De Alba is priced at 0.535 and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at 0.465 [1]. For the handicap contract naming Rafael De Alba at (-1.5), the prices are 0.495 for Rafael De Alba and 0.505 for Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado. For the contract naming Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at (-1.5), the prices are 0.495 for Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado and 0.505 for Rafael De Alba [1]. Because the two handicap contracts use different wording, their prices should not be merged or compared as one outcome.
These figures are snapshot prices from one provider. They are not verified probabilities, and the evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers all three saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The source also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not describe whether the match has been played, postponed, or resolved, and it contains no reporting beyond the rule text.
References
- Polymarket: M15 Mazatlan: Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket contract concerns a men's tennis match in the M15 Mazatlan Main Draw between Rafael De Alba and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado. The match was originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET [1]. The saved event lists three markets: a match winner contract and two set handicap contracts [1]. The match winner contract resolves to the player who advances against the other [1]. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the contract resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time for the event is November 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM UTC [1]. This is a contract listing time, not an announced date for the match. In the saved snapshot, the match winner contract priced Rafael De Alba at 0.535 and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at 0.465 [1]. The two set handicap contracts were priced at 0.495 and 0.505 for their respective players in each listed line [1]. These are observed prices at one moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market has moved since.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which player advances in this specific match, as defined by Polymarket's resolution rules [1]. Its rules cover several outcomes beyond a normal finish, including retirement, default, disqualification, cancellation, ties, and walkovers, so the contract depends on how the match ends rather than only on the score [1]. The set handicap contracts reference a line of 1.5 for each player in their titles, but the saved source does not explain their settlement mechanics in further detail [1]. Readers should check the full rules on the provider's page before relying on any resolution scenario.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled, meaning it is not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source determines the outcome?
The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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