Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Name: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$524.86K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Vol

$524.86K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $524.86K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $524.86K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	95%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$524.86K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (445 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outs"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $524.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $143.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $177.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $88.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $32.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $83.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $32.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $62.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $47.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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