GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Who will release a new song this year?

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Who will release a new song this year?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

37 markets tracked

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(37)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Camilo release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Bad Bunny release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Zara Larsson release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Post Malone release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Roddy Ricch release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will PARTYNEXTDOOR release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Big Sean release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will Mariah Carey release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will Coldplay release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Billie Eilish release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will Kendrick Lamar release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Addison Rae release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Childish Gambino release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	90%
Will Daniel Caesar release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will Eminem release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will Clairo release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	88%
Will Geese release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will Fall Out Boy release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will Shawn Mendes release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will Justin Timberlake release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will Linkin Park release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will Justin Bieber release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	82%
Will Chappell Roan release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	81%
Will The Weeknd release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	79%
Will NF release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	73%
Will Rihanna release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	69%
Will Migos release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will Frank Ocean release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will Daft Punk release a new song 2026?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

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96%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If X releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released during the time period. Re-recordings, unless in a new language, remasters, radio edits, clean/explicit versions of existing tracks, remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will release a new song this year?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If X releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released during the time period. Re-recordings, unless in a new language, remasters, radio edits, clean/explicit versions of existing tracks, remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zara Larsson releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first rele"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zara Larsson release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Clairo release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Geese release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Weeknd release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shawn Mendes release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Roddy Ricch release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Rihanna release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Post Malone release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will PARTYNEXTDOOR release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nicki Minaj release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will NF release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Migos release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mariah Carey release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will The Marías release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Linkin Park release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Kendrick Lamar release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Justin Timberlake release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Justin Bieber release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Frank Ocean release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Fall Out Boy release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Eminem release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Daniel Caesar release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Daft Punk release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Coldplay release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Childish Gambino release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Chappell Roan release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Camilo release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Billie Eilish release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Big Sean release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Bad Bunny release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Addison Rae release a new song 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Who will release a new song this year?

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KALSHI

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

If Tate McRae releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first releas

KALSHI

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

If Olivia Dean releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first relea

KALSHI

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

If Ice Spice releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first release

KALSHI

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

If Dua Lipa releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released

KALSHI

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

If Camilo releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on public availability on Spotify under the artist's official discography. For markets specifying "new song" or "new music," the release must be an original composition first released d

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/E9RtrJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will release a new song this year?"></iframe>

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Who will release a new song this year?

Who will release a new song this year?

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Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will release a new song this year?

Markets (37)

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

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Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will release a new song this year?

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

Will Tate McRae release a new song 2026?

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

Will Olivia Dean release a new song 2026?

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

Will Ice Spice release a new song 2026?

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

Will Dua Lipa release a new song 2026?

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

Will Camilo release a new song 2026?

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