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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?
Vol

PM $4.7K

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Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is more than 13 at 18%.

Polymarket

  1. more than 1318%
  2. ≤616%
  3. 914.5%
  4. 813.5%
  5. 1010%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $4.7K

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?

PM $2.9K
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 46.5%
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 33.5%
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes 15.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Bernie say during his remarks in Alpena, Michigan?

What will Bernie say during his remarks in Alpena, Michigan?

K 8.9K contracts
What will Bernie Sanders say during remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Housing / Rent)Yes 82.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 82%
What will Bernie Sanders say during remarks in Alpena, Michigan about Abdul El-Sayed originally scheduled for October 26, 2026? (Billionaire (5+ times))Yes 77.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 27?

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 27?

PM $3.8K
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 0°C on October 27?Yes 37.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 27?Yes 27.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 27?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 28?

Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 28?

PM $868.87
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?Yes 55%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?Yes 29.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 28?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on October 28?

Lowest temperature in Paris on October 28?

PM $614.94
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 28?Yes 42%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?Yes 31.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 28?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 28?

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 28?

PM $549.3
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 28?Yes 30.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 28?Yes 26.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 28?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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