Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Name: Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
End: 2026-10-19T09:00:00.000Z

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$0.00

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Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Madalena Matias (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Madalena Matias (+1.5)	Poly	88%
Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog	Poly	50%
Game Spread: Polona Hercog (-7.5) vs Madalena Matias (+7.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Madalena Matias (-1.5) vs Polona Hercog (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog	Poly	24%
Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	11%
Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madalena Matias' if Madalena Matias advances against Polona Hercog. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Madalena Matias. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Madalena Matias' if Madalena Matias advances against Polona Hercog.

This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Madalena Matias.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the sche

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Madalena Matias' if Madalena Matias advances against Polona Hercog.

This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Po"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Madalena Matias: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [Polona Hercog: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Madalena Matias: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [Polona Hercog: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Madalena Matias: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Polona Hercog: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Matias vs. Hercog: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Matias vs. Hercog: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Madalena Matias (-1.5) vs Polona Hercog (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Madalena Matias: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Polona Hercog: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Madalena Matias (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Polona Hercog: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [Madalena Matias: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Spread: Polona Hercog (-7.5) vs Madalena Matias (+7.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Polona Hercog: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Madalena Matias: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Volume$0.00

Markets17

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Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

POLYMARKET

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Madalena Matias and Polona Hercog in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" othe

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Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

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45¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EErF9k" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog"></iframe>

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Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

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Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Madalena Matias (+1.5)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Markets (17)

Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Set Handicap: Polona Hercog (-1.5) vs Madalena Matias (+1.5)

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Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Completed Match: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Lisbon: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 1 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Set 2 Winner: Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Madalena Matias vs. Polona Hercog: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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