Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Total Volume

$18.32K

Events

Markets

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When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Vol

$18.32K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $18.32K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $18.32K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?	Kalshi	70%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?	Kalshi	44%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	40%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	40%
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$18.32K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Feb 2028 If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Feb 2028

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2027): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Volume$18.32K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will c

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41¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EHEoSb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?"></iframe>

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When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

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Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Markets (5)

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

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Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026?

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