S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

This event has ended. Showing historical data.

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Name: S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$659.90K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $659.90K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $659.90K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$659.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 29 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 29 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 29 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 29 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on January 29 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SP"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $659.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $154.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.27)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $659.9K
  DATA: [Up: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Down: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

0¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EHy_Nt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)