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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards

Name: Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards
End: 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards

Vol

$12.39K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.39K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

33 markets tracked

Will Kyler Murray be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(33)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kyler Murray be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	45%
Will Malik Willis be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	26%
Will Brock Purdy be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	24%
Will Jared Goff be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	22%
Will Matthew Stafford be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	22%
Will Tyler Shough be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	21%
Will Kirk Cousins be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	13%
Will Jordan Love be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	13%
Will Joe Burrow be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	12%
Will Caleb Williams be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	12%
Will Daniel Jones be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	10%
Will Jalen Hurts be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	7%
Will Baker Mayfield be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	7%
Will Drake Maye be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Lamar Jackson be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Patrick Mahomes be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	5%
Will Cameron Ward be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Jacoby Brissett be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Geno Smith be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Josh Allen be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Jayden Daniels be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Sam Darnold be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Bo Nix be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Justin Herbert be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	3%
Will Deshaun Watson be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Bryce Young be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Trevor Lawrence be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Aaron Rodgers be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Jaxson Dart be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%
Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$12.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: First QB to 2,000 Passing Yards
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 27, 2027 (108 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing yards total equals or exceeds 2,000. Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.

If t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is the first quarterback to reach 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

A player reaches 2,000 passing yards at the moment his cumulative 2026-27 NFL regular season passing"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.95)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jared Goff be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $237
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Joe Burrow be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $311
  DATA: [Yes: 12.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Matthew Stafford be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brock Purdy be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $484
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Drake Maye be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $601
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trevor Lawrence be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $678
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sam Darnold be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $513
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tyler Shough be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $806
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Caleb Williams be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $161
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will C.J. Stroud be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $550
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Justin Herbert be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $460
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Josh Allen be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jordan Love be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Bo Nix be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $430
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Cameron Ward be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jalen Hurts be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $344
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jayden Daniels be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $262
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lamar Jackson be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jaxson Dart be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $915
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bryce Young be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Malik Willis be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 25.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.2% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fernando Mendoza be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $148
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Patrick Mahomes be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Baker Mayfield be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $534
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Geno Smith be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $302
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Deshaun Watson be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Aaron Rodgers be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $133
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Daniel Jones be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $490
  DATA: [Yes: 10.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Kirk Cousins be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $521
  DATA: [Yes: 13.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.9% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Kyler Murray be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Michael Penix Jr. be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Jacoby Brissett be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $198
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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