GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Hurricane Fausto category?

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Hurricane Fausto category?

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Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?	Kalshi	100%
Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?	Kalshi	86%
Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?	Kalshi	36%
Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?	Kalshi	14%
Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Hurricane Fausto If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to X mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hurricane Fausto category?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Hurricane Fausto

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to X mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurren"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Hurricane Fausto category?

Volume$0.00

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrenc

KALSHI

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrenc

KALSHI

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurren

KALSHI

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurren

KALSHI

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurren

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Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

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Events (1)

Hurricane Fausto category?

Markets (5)

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

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Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Hurricane Fausto category?

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?

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