AL Reliever of the Year Winner? | PredictPedia

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21 markets tracked

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	30%
Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	27%
Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	13%
Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Robert Garcia win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Mark Leiter Jr. win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Kirby Yates win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Kenley Jansen win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Kyle Finnegan win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jordan Leasure win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Jeff Hoffman win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Grant Taylor win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Bryan Abreu win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Andres Muñoz win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	12%
Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	8%
Will David Bednar win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	8%
Will Taylor Rogers win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	6%
Will Griffin Jax win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	6%
Will Josh Hader win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	5%
Will Carlos Estevez win AL Reliever of the Year?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AL Reliever of the Year Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If X wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Will Vest wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Taylor Rogers win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Robert Garcia win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Mark Leiter Jr. win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Kirby Yates win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kenley Jansen win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Kyle Finnegan win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jordan Leasure win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jeff Hoffman win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Josh Hader win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Grant Taylor win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Griffin Jax win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will David Bednar win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Carlos Estevez win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Bryan Abreu win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Andres Muñoz win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Reliever of the Year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

12¢

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Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

AL Reliever of the Year Winner?

Markets (21)

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

AL Reliever of the Year Winner?

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?

Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year?

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