Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Total Volume

$200.00

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Markets

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America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Vol

$200.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $200.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $200.00

100%

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7 markets tracked

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	66%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	34%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 140000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 160000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$200.00

Volume

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About This Event

Calendar year 2026 If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least X million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERICA PAC is FEC committee C00879510, and Column B covers calendar year 2026. Amounts reported by AMERICA PAC, INC., FEC committee C00750380, do NOT count. Revisions filed after Expiration are not accou

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** America PAC 2026 total disbursements?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Calendar year 2026

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least X million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERICA PAC is FEC committee C00879510, and Column B covers calendar year 2026. Amounts reported by AMERICA PAC, INC., FEC committee C00750380, do NOT count. Revisions filed after Expiration are not accou

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 160 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERI"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $200
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 160000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 140000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Volume$200.00

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 60 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERIC

KALSHI

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 75 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERIC

KALSHI

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 90 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERIC

KALSHI

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 105 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERI

KALSHI

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

If America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value is at least 120 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of AMERICA PAC's first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. AMERI

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America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

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Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

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Events (1)

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Markets (7)

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

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Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

America PAC 2026 total disbursements?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 60000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 75000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 90000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 105000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will America PAC's FEC-reported total disbursements value be at least 120000000 during calendar year 2026?

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