Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

Total Volume

$5.60K

Events

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MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

Vol

$5.60K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.60K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.60K

100%

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13 markets tracked

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 50000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	94%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 75000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 100000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 150000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	72%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 200000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	49%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 300000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 400000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 500000000 during calendar year 2026?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$5.60K

Volume

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About This Event

Calendar year 2026 If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above X million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s, FEC ID C00892471, first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. Column B covers calendar year 2026. Amounts reported by MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN INC., FEC ID C00825851, do NOT count.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Calendar year 2026

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above X million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s, FEC ID C00892471, first original 2026 Year-End Form 3X. Column B covers calendar year 2026. Amounts reported by MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN INC., FEC ID C00825851, do NOT count.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 500 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End Fo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 500000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 400000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 75000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $474
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 50000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 300000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $609
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 200000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 150000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $117
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 100000000 during calendar year 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 30, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

Volume$5.60K

Markets13

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KALSHI

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 20 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End For

KALSHI

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 15 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End For

KALSHI

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 25 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End For

KALSHI

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 30 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End For

KALSHI

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

If MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value is above 40 million dollars during calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The figure is the Total Disbursements value reported on Line 31, Column B, of MAGA INC.'s (FEC ID C00892471) first original 2026 Year-End For

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MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

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Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

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Events (1)

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

Markets (13)

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

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Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 30000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 40000000 during calendar year 2026?

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