Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore compare this contract only with other contracts that use the same benchmark and window. A spot price on another venue would measure something different.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T15:30:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract data, not a report of a resolution. The evidence does not show a resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T12:01:08.916Z [1]. The prices below come from the observation time, not from the retrieval time.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, or volume, so it does not show how easily a trader could buy or sell at these levels.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, no cross-market comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the Up and Down prices sit where they do. It also does not say how many participants hold either position. The snapshot is about three hours older than the retrieval time, so it should not be read as a live price.
The provider describes the sample as all saved markets for this event, but it notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For this binary contract, that caveat matters mainly for other windows or related contracts that are not in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket titled 'Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET'. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD, as measured by a Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) data stream, over a five-minute window will be at or above the price at the start of that window. The saved provider record describes the contract as active and lists its end time as 2026-10-31T15:30:00 UTC [1]. The resolution rule is specific. The contract resolves to Up if the TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The provider states that only the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream counts, not other data sources or spot markets [1]. The reference data stream is identified in the provider's rules as the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP 60-second stream [1]. The provider record was observed at 09:00 UTC on October 31, 2026, and retrieved at 12:01 UTC the same day [1]. The listed end time falls after the retrieval time, so the contract was not closed when the record was retrieved. Any price shown elsewhere on PredictPedia reflects a snapshot at a particular time, not a live or executable quote, and it should not be read as a verified probability that Hyperliquid's price will rise.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rule-defined price movement rather than a broad outcome about Hyperliquid. Because it compares the TWAP over the named five-minute window with the price at the start of that window, a contract can resolve Up even if the spot price moved differently at some moments inside the window, since the outcome depends on the average [1]. The provider also limits the resolution to one specific Chainlink data stream, so the rules, not general market news, determine the result [1]. Readers should check the exact window and data source in the contract rules before interpreting any price shown for it [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The provider states that resolution uses the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The saved provider record lists the end time as 2026-10-31T15:30:00 UTC [1].
Does a listed price show the likely outcome?
No. The displayed prices are snapshots from a saved record and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.