Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title gives the window as 11:20AM-11:25AM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-10-31T15:25:00.000Z [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The provider notes that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different asset, window, or price feed would not measure the same thing.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. It lists Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this record.

The sample covers one market from one Polymarket event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The source also states that all saved markets for these events are included, but that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a binary contract, the saved pair is the complete set for this record. The evidence does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of traders.

The retrieval time, 2026-10-31T12:58:47.254Z, is later than the observation time. The prices therefore describe 09:00 UTC and should not be read as current. The excerpt lists the provider status as active [1], but it does not establish a current price or a resolved outcome.

What remains uncertain

The evidence contains no price after 09:00:05 UTC, so the market's present state cannot be determined from this record. It also omits the Hyperliquid price at the start of the window, the TWAP over the window, and the final result. The evidence does not explain why the prices sit close to even. Readers should check the live provider page and the Chainlink stream directly. Comparisons with other platforms would only be meaningful if the wording, window, resolution source, and listed close time matched.

References

1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.