GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Gustavo González López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Edmundo González Urrutia de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will Diosdado Cabello de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If X de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If X de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vladimir Padrino López de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "Vladimir Padrino López de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, Vladimir Pad"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gustavo González López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Edmundo González Urrutia de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Diosdado Cabello de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

2026 If X de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

If Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, Delcy Rodríguez is the ind

KALSHI

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

If María Corina Machado de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "María Corina Machado de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, María Corina Mac

KALSHI

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

If Vladimir Padrino López de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "Vladimir Padrino López de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, Vladimir Pad

KALSHI

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

If Nicolás Maduro de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "Nicolás Maduro de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, Nicolás Maduro is the indivi

KALSHI

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

If Jorge Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this Contract, "Jorge Rodríguez de facto holds head of state of Venezuela" means that, at the end of 2026, Jorge Rodríguez is the ind

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

13¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Ee0rYZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Markets (8)

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Vladimir Padrino López de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Nicolás Maduro de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Jorge Rodríguez de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget