Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

Total Volume

$27.41

Events

Markets

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

Vol

$27.41

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $27.41

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.41

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 0.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	76%
Over 1.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	40%
Over 2.5 1H goals scored	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$27.41

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol is more than X goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol  is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol p"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 2.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 1.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 0.5 1H goals scored
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

Volume$27.41

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol is more than 0.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol p

KALSHI

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol is more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol p

KALSHI

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

If the total goals scored by Bahia and Mirassol is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Bahia vs Mirassol p

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43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EgtM-d" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total"></iframe>

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

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Over 0.5 1H goals scored

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Events (1)

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

Markets (3)

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

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Over 0.5 1H goals scored

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Total

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 1.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

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