Name: América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino
End: 2026-04-12T21:00:00.000Z

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América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?	Poly	48%
Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?	Poly	30%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?	Poly	30%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 29, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 12, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between América FC and Grêmio Novorizontino.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If América FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, thi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $205
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 21.87)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

14d 8h remaining

Apr 12, 2026 9:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

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América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino

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Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino

Markets (3)

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?

Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?

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Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

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América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?

Will América FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-04-12?

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