Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread

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Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread

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4 markets tracked

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	21%
Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	11%
Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	9%
Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

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$0.00

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About This Event

SPA vs VDG (Oct 17) If Vasco da Gama wins by more than X goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SPA vs VDG (Oct 17)

If Vasco da Gama wins by more than X goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

KALSHI

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

KALSHI

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

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Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread

Markets (4)

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: Spread

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Vasco da Gama wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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