Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

Total Volume

$245.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

Vol

$245.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $245.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $245.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	34%
Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	17%
Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	7%
Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

Top Probability

$245.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

AVL vs FEN (Oct 14) If Fenerbahce wins by more than X goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AVL vs FEN (Oct 14)

If Fenerbahce wins by more than X goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $245
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

Volume$245.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not a

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Average Yes Price

15¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EnPXnx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread"></iframe>

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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

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Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

Markets (4)

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce: Spread

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Fenerbahce wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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