Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Total Volume

$664.17

Events

Markets

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Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Vol

$664.17

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $664.17

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $664.17

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	92%
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	74%
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	49%
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	27%
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	12%
Will over 5.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$664.17

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

MSC vs EDM (Oct 11) If over X goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MSC vs EDM (Oct 11)

If over X goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $664
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 5.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $336
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Volume$664.17

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, a

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43¢

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Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Events (1)

Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Markets (6)

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Monagas vs Est. Merida: Total Goals

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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