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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Name: Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
End: 2026-11-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.42M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Vol

$2.42M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.42M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.42M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	48%
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	46%
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	45%
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	43%
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	43%
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	42%
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	42%
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	37%
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	35%
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	34%
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	23%
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	21%
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	15%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	9%
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	5%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	4%
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$2.42M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 30, 2026 (138 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. 

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. 

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. 

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be consi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.42M
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.9K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 203.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $87.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $47.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $15.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $38.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 46.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $11.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $129.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $30.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $1.97M
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $20.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.9% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture