Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US active housing listings in October

Total Volume

$935.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US active housing listings in October

Vol

$935.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $935.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $935.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?	Kalshi	86%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?	Kalshi	53%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?	Kalshi	50%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?	Kalshi	50%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?	Kalshi	50%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,175,000 listings?	Kalshi	49%
Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,250,000 listings?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$935.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 2026 If the US active housing listing count, Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States, for October 2026 is above X listings, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series “Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,” series ID ACTLISCOUUS. Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US active housing listings in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 2026

If the US active housing listing count, Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States, for October 2026 is above X listings, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series “Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,” series ID ACTLISCOUUS. Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,250,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $935
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,250,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,175,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $923
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US active housing listings in October

Volume$935.00

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,150,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba

KALSHI

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,100,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba

KALSHI

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,225,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba

KALSHI

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,200,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba

KALSHI

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,125,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Ba

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Ew7VIR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US active housing listings in October"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

US active housing listings in October

US active housing listings in October

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US active housing listings in October

Markets (7)

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US active housing listings in October

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,150,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,100,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,225,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,200,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

Will the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 be above 1,125,000 listings?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget