GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-09-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.23K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$19.23K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	97%
Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Karsten Schneider win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Marco Meiners win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Jens Hortmeyer win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Andreas Klaffehn win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Timothy Luca Petersen win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$19.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Wolfsburg Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 13, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will 

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $76.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $14.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Karsten Schneider win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jens Hortmeyer win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $661
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marco Meiners win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $683
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Andreas Klaffehn win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $692
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $796
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Timothy Luca Petersen win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $703
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics