Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Name: Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
End: 2026-10-19T13:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.12

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Vol

$37.12

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.12

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.12

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)	Poly	56%
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Poly	50%
Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Poly	49%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	48%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	48%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	48%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	43%
Game Spread: Mackenzie McDonald (-5.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+5.5)	Poly	41%
Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	39%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	37%
Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	33%
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Poly	30%
Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Poly	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$37.12

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Mackenzie McDonald in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Mackenzie McDonald. This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Lorenzo Carboni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Mackenzie McDonald in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Mackenzie McDonald.

This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Lorenzo Carboni.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Mackenzie McDonald in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Mackenzie McDonald.

This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie M"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $19
  DATA: [Lorenzo Carboni: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [Mackenzie McDonald: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Lorenzo Carboni: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [Mackenzie McDonald: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Lorenzo Carboni: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Mackenzie McDonald: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Carboni vs. McDonald: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Carboni vs. McDonald: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mackenzie McDonald: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Carboni: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Mackenzie McDonald (-5.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Mackenzie McDonald: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Carboni: 59.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Volume$37.12

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

POLYMARKET

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Mackenzie McDonald in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under"

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Oct 19, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/EzD08L" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald"></iframe>

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Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Markets (16)

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Mackenzie McDonald (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)

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Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Lorenzo Carboni vs. Mackenzie McDonald: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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