Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$51.67K

Events

Markets

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Vol

$51.67K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $51.67K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $51.67K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	81%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Poly	60%
Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	59%
Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Poly	56%
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Poly	56%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Poly	53%
Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	50%
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	44%
Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Set Handicap: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)	Poly	37%
Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$51.67K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Learner Tien.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the schedul

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $51.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $363.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50.9K
  DATA: [Learner Tien: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Learner Tien: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Learner Tien: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $54
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Tien vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $259
  DATA: [Over: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $39
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Tien vs. Ruud: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Over: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $231
  DATA: [Learner Tien: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Learner Tien (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Learner Tien: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Casper Ruud: 47.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Volume$51.67K

Markets16

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.0¢No 47.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

POLYMARKET

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/F0Hwfg" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

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Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Tien vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Learner Tien vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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